Guyu on Gold: crude oil asphalt, more than a single silver weekly bearish avoidance, more than a single release Sina fund exposure: the letter Phi lag of false propaganda, long-term performance is lower than similar products, to buy the fund by the pit how to do? Click on [I want to complain], Sina help you expose them! Single rule: non average addition. After a batch of orders entered the market, the market went back to explain that there might be a problem with the decision, blindly adding a single average price is slightly better, but if the question is wrong, the new addition is just wrong plus wrong. Conversely, if you believe that the square is right, but the price is not good enough, then you don’t have to care too much. I think, where the entry is not important, the key is on this day, you are bullish or bearish?. The novice likes to ask: do you buy or sell? No matter whether he buys or sells, it shouldn’t affect the judgment of others on the market. Beginners also need to think independently. Another question is: where did you start buying? I think it’s not about making or losing the day, but the key is to judge whether it’s going up or down. Silver, gold week trend form and consistent, three Yin Yang daily, weekly down on small line. Just finished lower intensity, the silver momentum, after Wednesday, Thursday Friday two small Yin, Yin zapan, the lowest price of 18.98 to 19.02, the daily line, the price went to 19.1 below support 19.2. At present, the pressure above the silver is mainly concentrated in the 20 integer pass, the plate resistance is located at 19.4, 19.75, two position, below support 18.7 and 18.4 recent lows. So next week the trend is expected to be the same as gold, after the beginning of the week continued to shake after the bottom, up and down pressure, support will be repeated testing, and break the direction of the time point of the same direction in the Federal Reserve interest rate determination week. Crude oil, last week’s weekly review analysis, we expect this week’s energy market will be a long and short game, the trend of complex time nodes. First of all, 43 along the two direction, the first break of low dip 42-41.5 between second and 43 along the bottom up; direct drive oil prices stabilize, the direct rebound upside. Secondly, 43, there are 45.1 lines of long and short game point, upward breakthrough, continue to test 46.5, 47.5 or even 48.45 high pressure; otherwise, continue to press, to 42 below the price retracement. The actual market operation, and we expect little difference, on Monday, 43 area prices directly to stabilize prices, the 45.1 pressure position is Monday the speech a direct attack on disk, the highest hit 46.5 line, the daily staged down; Tuesday, long and short range for days to form a V type bottom line, overcast cross on Wednesday; then, the price dropping slightly to the upside by API disk, data driven, Zhongyang daily; on Thursday, a decline of EIA data record of the historical period, oil prices jumped to the highest in 47.75 days, the impact of high line; Friday, EIA stock short-term effect data regression, the pressure of the oil pressure of 47.75 47.5 days walk Yindie, minimum 45.56, the daily high big Yin de yang. On the whole, the trading day on Friday was extraordinary, and the basic news came into the war

谷雨论金:原油沥青、白银周初看空多单回避,多单解套 新浪基金曝光台:信披滞后虚假宣传,业绩长期低于同类产品,买基金被坑怎么办?点击【我要投诉】,新浪帮你曝光他们!   做单原则:不平均加单。一批单子进场后,市场反走说明判断可能有问题,盲目加单平均价位虽然稍好,但如果方问错了,新加的单只是错上加错。反过来讲,如果你相信方问没错,只是价位不够好,那就不必过于计较。笔者认为,哪里进单不重要,关键是这一天你是看涨还是看跌。新手最爱问:你是买还是卖呀?不管他是买还是卖不应该影响旁人对市场的判断。新手也要独立思考。再一个问题就是:你从哪里开始买的?笔者认为这也与当天是赚还是赔无关,关键是判断涨与跌。   白银,周内走势形态和黄金保持一致,日线两阳三阴,周线冲高回落上影小阴线。就冲高回落的力度来看,本次白银势头过猛,周三、周四两根小阴线之后,周五大阴砸盘,价格最低18.98,日线收于19.02一线,价格走到19.1 19.2支撑下方。当前白银上方压力主要集中在20.0整数关口,盘中阻力则位于19.4、19.75两处位置,下方支撑18.7以及18.4近期低点。所以下周走势预计会和黄金相同,周初继续探底之后呈震荡,上下压力、支撑都会反复测试,而打破整理出方向的时间点同样在美联储利率决议周。   原油,上周周评分析我们预期本周能源市场将是一个多空反复博弈,走势复杂的时间节点。首先,43.0一带两处方向的选择,第一破低探底42-41.5之间筑底上涨;第二,43.0一带直接企稳,带动油价的直接反弹上攻。其次,43.0之外,还有45.1一线的多空博弈点,向上突破则继续测试46.5、47.5甚至是48.4 5高位压力;反之则继续受压,向42之下价格进行回撤整理。实际行情的运行,和我们预期相差不大,周一,43.0一带价格选择直接企稳上涨,45.1压力位置被周一沙特方面言论直接攻盘,最高触及46.5一线,日线上演冲高回落;周二,多空区间内争夺,日内形态成V型探底,日线阴十字;周三,价格小幅下探之后向上攻盘,受到API数据推动,日线中阳;周四,EIA数据创阶段性历史的降幅,带动油价向上跳涨,日内最高冲击47.75一线高位;周五,EIA库存数据短期效应消退,油价承压47.75 47.5压力日内走阴跌,最低45.56,日线高位大阴灭大阳。整体来看,本周五个交易日,走势均不平凡,基本面消息的纷纷参战,技术面走势繁杂无常,最终周线收取上影小阳线。   周线分析,油价自26.0一带上涨,创下51.6年内高点之后,已经连续三个月陷入宽幅震荡整理之中。周线三角区间被逐步压缩,和黄金雷同,走到了相对末端位置,预计近期会走突破。以时间来看,本月最后一个交易周应该是打破当前震荡市的节点,届时欧佩克成员国和非欧佩克组织将在阿尔及利亚举行第二轮冻产会议,借以商讨有关稳定油市的冻产计划。对于这样的基本面消息,预测的意义不大,耐心等待市场消息的出台最为理智。不过,公众号谷雨论金就目前市场上出现的信号来看,本次“冻产”恐怕依旧是一场空谈,毕竟国与国之间的利益最难权衡,想要坐下来来一场和平的会谈,而又能够顾及到所有与会国的利益,太难!另外,原油最常规的基本面,本周API、EIA两个数据均创几十年历史的降幅,虽然在短时间内推涨了油价,但是最终仍旧没有能够守住战果,多头的狂欢被周五的大阴下跌给终结。这一点其实和我们近期原油的趋势性分析完全一致,在七八月份油价上沿大V走势之后,原油的走价区间被进一步压缩,整体依旧没有摆脱中期大震荡走势。   周内多空经过几次博弈,周线上影小阳线,原油短期依旧在反弹通道之内。同时,自49.36一线见顶以来,油价多次冲击反弹均折戟于48.0附近价格,目前这里已经形成强势压力,和近期高点联合压制油价走宽幅震荡。而下方两处强支撑,39-40以及43.0一线,是各个能源国为稳定油市所作出努力换来的结果,可以说当前油价已经处于反弹通道之中,只是尚未打开进一步大涨的关口,而这一位置正是50-51.6一带。所以,谷雨v信gylj325原油趋势来看,长期日线通道看涨,周线看涨,中期大震荡,多空相互轮换。至于下周,笔者预计在周五大阴线带动下,周初会先进一步向下回撤,预计将试探45.1、44.0以及43.5支撑位置;但是难以走出深度下跌形态,探底之后的反弹将会把油价重新来回到震荡之中。阻力关注46.0、46.5,重点47.5 47.75强压;支撑45.5、45.1、44.0以及43.5-43.1。短线笔者依旧是看空的多单需要回避,至于周五套了单子的可以根据自己的风险来进行补救,白银也是一样。   文 谷雨论金 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: